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The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) transports heat to high latitudes and carbon to the deep ocean. Paleoceanographic observations have led to the widely held view that the strength of the AMOC was significantly reduced at two intervals during the most recent glacial-to-interglacial transition, with global climate impacts. Climate models predict that the AMOC may decline in the future due to anthropogenic forcing, but the time periods for modern observations are too short to detect recent trends with high confidence. To understand the likelihood of future changes in the AMOC, it is important to understand the mechanisms that drove past changes in AMOC strength. In this paper we review (1) the paleoceanographic proxy data that have led to the widespread view that the AMOC sharply decreased for periods of several thousand years during the last deglaciation, (2) climate model simulations of the last deglaciation, with particular attention to their use of fresh water to alter the AMOC, (3) the physical mechanisms that could have driven past changes in the AMOC, and (4) how insights from past ocean change can inform our understanding of what may happen in the future.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available June 23, 2026
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Abstract The minor and trace element compositions of biogenic carbonates such as foraminifera are important tools in paleoceanography research. However, most studies have focused primarily on samples with element to calcium (El/Ca) ratios higher than the El/Ca range often found in benthic foraminifera. Here, we systematically assess the precision and accuracy of foraminifera elemental analysis across a wide range of El/Ca especially at relatively low ratios, using a method on a Thermo Scientific iCAP Qc quadrupole Inductively Coupled Plasma Mass Spectrometer (ICP‐MS). We focus on two benthic foraminifera species,Hoeglundina elegansandCibicidoides pachyderma, and prepared a suite of solution standards based on their typical El/Ca ranges to correct for signal drift and matrix effects during ICP‐MS analysis and to determine analytical precision. We observe comparable precisions with published studies at high El/Ca, and higher relative standard deviations for each element at lower El/Ca, as expected from counting statistics. The overall long‐term analytical precision (2σ) of theH. elegans‐like consistency standard solutions was 6.5%, 4.6%, 5.0%, for Li/Ca, Mg/Ca, Mg/Li, and 6.4%, 10.0%, 4.2% for B/Ca, Cd/Ca, Sr/Ca. The precision forH. elegans‐like Mg/Li is equivalent to a temperature uncertainty of 0.5–1.1°C. Measurement precisions were also assessed based on three international standards (one solution and two powder standards) and replicate measurements ofH. elegansandC. pachydermasamples. We provide file templates and program scripts that can be used to design calibration and consistency standards, prepare run sequences, and convert the raw ICP‐MS data into molar ratios.more » « less
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Instrumental observations of subsurface ocean warming imply that ocean heat uptake has slowed 20th-century surface warming. We present high-resolution records from subpolar North Atlantic sediments that are consistent with instrumental observations of surface and deep warming/freshening and in addition reconstruct the surface-deep relation of the last 1200 years. Sites from ~1300 meters and deeper suggest an ~0.5 degrees celsius cooling across the Medieval Climate Anomaly to Little Ice Age transition that began ~1350 ± 50 common era (CE), whereas surface records suggest asynchronous cooling onset spanning ~600 years. These data suggest that ocean circulation integrates surface variability that is transmitted rapidly to depth by the Atlantic Meridional Ocean Circulation, implying that the ocean moderated Earth’s surface temperature throughout the last millennium as it does today.more » « less
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Data published in Lu et al. 2023 and R script repository to reproduce published figures. Lu W., D. W. Oppo, G. Gebbie, D. J. R. Thornalley, Surface climate signals transmitted rapidly to deep North Atlantic throughout last millennium. Science, 382, 834-839 https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adf1646.more » « less
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